老牛影视

Skip to main content

Q&A: What鈥檚 Next for the Pandemic?

Duke leaders offer insights about safety and the road ahead with COVID-19

From left to right, Dr. Carol Epling, Dr. Cam Wolfe, the Rev. Luke Powery and Dr. Becky Smith.
From left to right, Dr. Carol Epling, Dr. Cam Wolfe, the Rev. Luke Powery and Dr. Becky Smith.

While it is safe to return to Duke鈥檚 campus, where the vast majority of the community is fully vaccinated, staff and faculty shouldn鈥檛 let down their guard.

There are still steps to consider to stay safe, even with the lifting of Duke鈥檚 indoor mask requirements in most settings, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) saying that the  in Durham County.

鈥淲e鈥檒l never have a COVID-zero environment,鈥 said Dr. Becky Smith, Duke associate professor of medicine who studies infectious diseases. 鈥淏ut most people, at this point, either have vaccine-induced immunity or they have natural immunity, and so there鈥檚 some protection.鈥

As we approach a post-pandemic world, we asked Duke leaders what we can expect in this new phase of the pandemic, and how we can stay safe and recover from a challenging two years.

Moving forward, what will we do to keep ourselves safe at work?

Dr. Carol Epling, executive director of Duke Employee Occupational Health and Wellness. Photo courtesy of University Communications. Dr. Carol Epling, executive director of , said that if future COVID-19 variants continue to be mild, and spikes in cases become infrequent, masking and distancing polices will remain relaxed. But there are some things that she doesn鈥檛 see changing.

Anyone experiencing cold or flu-like symptoms should still isolate, stay home from work and get tested for COVID-19. And as the virus changes, there will continue to be a need for boosters or annual vaccinations, like we have for influenza. Epling, who has been at the heart of Duke鈥檚 response, said that the institution will continue to closely monitor the virus and enact safety protocols when warranted.

鈥淲e鈥檙e going to have this as a possible risk for us, and we may encounter it at any time,鈥 Epling said. 鈥淪o we鈥檒l need to be ready to modify our plans.鈥

In what situations should staff and faculty be especially cautious?

Duke Associate Professor of Medicine Dr. Becky Smith. While masks are no longer required in many places, there are still scenarios when wearing a mask, or maintaining some physical distance, may be a wise move. Associate Professor of Medicine Dr. Becky Smith said attending indoor gatherings with many people 鈥 especially people you don鈥檛 know 鈥 in small or poorly ventilated spaces remains risky without mask.

If you live with, or spend time around, unvaccinated people, it鈥檚 wise to wear a mask to avoid passing the virus to them. And if you have a trip or event coming up that could be derailed by a positive COVID test, masking makes sense.

鈥淚 think we all have the ability to do our own risk assessment,鈥 Smith said about analyzing situations. 鈥淎sk yourself about time, space, people and place. How long are you going to be in this spot? What type of place is it? Is it outside? Are there lots of people there? Do I know these people?鈥

What鈥檚 the best mask to wear?

While data from the  (CDC) shows that N95 or KN95 respirators and surgical masks offer better protection than cloth masks, Smith said cloth masks, especially multi-layer ones, are still effective as long as they fit your face and have no gaps around the edges.

鈥淓verybody is going to find their comfort zone at different times,鈥 Smith said. 鈥淛ust expect that some people will be masking and some will not.鈥

What does it mean for COVID-19 to become an endemic?

Duke Associate Professor of Medicine Dr. Cameron Wolfe. Photo courtesy of University Communications. Associate Professor of Medicine Dr. Cameron Wolfe, an infectious disease expert at Duke, said that the strict definition of 鈥渆ndemic鈥 isn鈥檛 as important as the idea that it represents, which is the point when the threat of a disease becomes mild enough to resume normal life without worrying about huge interruptions in daily activities. With fewer restrictions and variants that have been less likely to severely affect vaccinated people, Wolfe said it makes sense to think that the danger of COVID-19 has subsided, and that we can resume something that feels close to pre-pandemic normalcy. 

But that won鈥檛 mean we鈥檙e free from the virus altogether.

鈥淚t鈥檚 now unrealistic to think we鈥檒l reach a threshold where suddenly the disease just vanishes,鈥 Wolfe said. 鈥淏ut our community immunity may be good enough, so the severity won鈥檛 be nearly as impactful. But to think that there couldn鈥檛 be a mutation that suddenly renders a future variant more severe is a false hope. I think we鈥檇 be blind to assume that just because we call something 鈥榚ndemic,鈥 we鈥檙e past the worst of it, and that something couldn鈥檛 come back again.鈥

How has the shared experience of the past two years affected us?

老牛影视 Chapel Dean Rev. Luke Powery. Photo courtesy of University Communications. After two years of loss and uncertainty, the Rev. Luke Powery, the dean, said the pandemic proved how fragile life can be. It鈥檚 in that collective vulnerability where, he hopes, we can find common ground and a new appreciation for everyone.

鈥淚t鈥檚 reminded us that we are human, we are finite creatures,鈥 Powery said. 鈥淲e are not in control the way we try to be. In many ways, we are dust, and to dust we will return. There鈥檚 a level of humility that I hope we approach one another with after this, a level of humility rooted in our humanness. I think that would lead to what, I hope, will be a greater sense of empathy and compassion toward one another.鈥

Tell us how the pandemic has changed your life: write working@duke.edu