US Capitol Riots: Where Do We Go From Here?
Duke experts examine rise of white nationalism, future of democracy and GOP
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After last week鈥檚 invasion of the U.S. Capitol by a gang of rioters egged on by President Trump, longtime observers of government and politics are trying to determine just how much damage the nation has suffered and how it can begin to recover.
At Duke, three experts in history, law and political science discussed the challenges the nation now faces. In a wide-ranging virtual media briefing, the scholars looked at the historical precursors to the insurrection, the infiltration of police and military by white nationalists, and other issues.
Watch the briefing on .
Here are excerpts:
DARRELL MILLER, LAW PROFESSOR
On the U.S. Capitol Insurrection
鈥淚t was a catastrophic failure of security to actually have the Capitol breached by rioters.鈥
鈥淲e are all very fortunate 鈥 it鈥檚 becoming apparent by the day 鈥 that the potential for loss of life was catastrophic. There was a plan in place that people had come prepared to try to hijack democracy in the Capitol building. If more people had come with firearms, it really would have been a bloodbath. The fact that there are, by most accounts, five fatalities, is remarkable.鈥
On Comparisons to BLM Protests
鈥淚鈥檓 amazed to think you could have a scenario in which there鈥檚 flash bangs and tear gas and all sorts of force used on peaceful protests in DC, and here you can have a largely but not exclusively white mob actually storm the capitol building, take up a seat at the speaker鈥檚 chair. And then there鈥檚 video of them being escorted out. Not even escorted, basically led out of the building with the doors held for them by the very police officers they had just overcome with force. It鈥檚 hard for me to really get my head around these two images. One of a peaceful protest being cleared for a photo op, and then rioters being shown out the door and having the door held to them by police.鈥
鈥淲e have somehow backed ourselves into this scenario where it鈥檚 perfectly normal in some parts of the country to show up to mass protests with firearms. It鈥檚 only been by sheer luck that we haven鈥檛 seen a huge massacre occur over a mistaken understanding about where someone is pointing a gun.鈥
On White Nationalists in Military, Police Forces
鈥淚t鈥檚 an issue and it鈥檚 one that needs to be addressed. I really think it鈥檚 up to police departments and the military to sort of get their house in order. It鈥檚 a serious threat. Policing and national defense has a kind of small 鈥榙鈥 democratic function. The idea is the equal enforcement of the law requires that all the people that are enforcing the law as best they can on an even-handed basis. The idea of who you enforce the law against 鈥 and who you cut a break to 鈥 should not be determined by politics or racial ideology.鈥
鈥淭his is the whole reason why we have a professionalized police force. This is the whole reason why we have a system of national defense that is premised not on 鈥 private militias but essentially what is a standing army.鈥
鈥淚f they are being corrupted from within 鈥 then it鈥檚 really incumbent and necessary on those actors like the military and police departments to screen out and root out that issue. Otherwise it will fester, and it will lead to widespread distrust of the very idea that we have a neutral law enforcement and military apparatus at all.鈥
On Politicians and Conspiracy Theories
鈥淲hat has happened is you have a subsection of the Republican party that has catered to the absolute worst kind of conspiracy-mongering of some of their constituents. Rather than acting as a brake, a voice of reason, they have come to embrace and 鈥 mainstream things that 20 years ago would have been thought totally unreasonable. I don鈥檛 know how you can have a two-party system like we do when a substantial portion of one party is simply not trafficking in fact anymore. They鈥檙e simply resistant to the basis of what the world is.鈥
鈥淚 don鈥檛 know how you extract yourself from that.鈥
ADRIANE LENTZ-SMITH, HISTORIAN
On Insurrection as Threat to Democracy
鈥淎nytime you have a mob willing to overpower and injure people to get inside the Capitol to overwhelm and harm Congressional representatives, American democracy has a problem. And parts of those mobs were the very people whose jobs it is to represent or uphold that democracy is incredibly worrying.鈥
鈥淗istorians of the U.S. South or the U.S., broadly speaking, have a great deal to say right now. We鈥檝e seen precursors of this in our academic work. I am flabbergasted to see the escalation in this contemporary moment. To my mind I think back to the Wilmington coup of 1898 in which a mob overthrew democratically elected municipal government in coastal North Carolina and installed their own government that had run on the white supremacy campaigns of the 1890s. I think of mobs during the desegregation era who were willing to attack and threaten school children in their rage at Supreme Court rulings. And I think of spectacle lynchings over and over again, the big kind of mass lynchings that had a carnival atmosphere in which people recited psalms, recited patriotic songs, sold lemonade.鈥
鈥淭his is an escalation of things we鈥檝e seen in the past. It鈥檚 not a departure from past patterns. But it鈥檚 important to keep in mind in that past, these things didn鈥檛 just threaten American democracy, they harmed it. They hampered it. They threatened to break it. And inaction on the part of local governments and the federal government was taken as approval and encouragement.鈥
On Racial Double Standards
鈥淭he police were caught flat-footed in a way that makes no sense given the reports we鈥檇 seen in recent days. The FBI knew there was trouble was coming.鈥
鈥淚f these had been black or brown people, what we would have seen would have been seriously, remarkably different. People are citing the summer protests, the response to the George Floyd and Breanna Taylor protests as the counter example. In which damage to property was seen as equivalent to or beyond the harm of damage to life.鈥
鈥淢any authorities work on racial scripts. Those scripts have been produced and intensified over time.鈥
鈥淲e see these linkings over and over of blackness and criminality, of brownness and illegality, and of Muslim as threat. Some authorities are so quick to see what鈥檚 not there to make those links, that they overlook what is there.鈥
鈥淎 right-wing militia threatened to kidnap the governor of Michigan, and that didn鈥檛 signal that we have a problem with political violence in relation to Trumpism that needed serious addressing.鈥
On Fixing Democracy
鈥淎ttempts at reconciliation without doing serious repair work and without a reckoning on who鈥檚 responsible for what, are likely to create more disfunction. What鈥檚 going to happen next is still an open question. What needs to happen if we are going to get to a new, more productive, less dysfunctional place in our politics is a serious reckoning with how these recent moments came to pass, and the culpability for the people who encouraged, incited or enabled (it.)鈥
On Whether the GOP may Change
鈥淚t鈥檚 good to remember we haven鈥檛 always had the Democratic party and Republican party as our main parties or our only parties. Our politics have evolved before. They鈥檝e incorporated stronger third parties and weaker third parties. We have a hard time imagining other realities, but parties, they do come and go, or they do change so much internally that they become something else. Likely? Perhaps not. But possible? Sure.鈥
鈥淚t鈥檚 important to keep in mind that these claims of election fraud that had currency 鈥 are really tied to people鈥檚 shock and dismay that efforts to disenfranchise African-Americans and other people of color didn鈥檛 work as effectively as they have in the past.
鈥淭he rage at the fraud is actually an indignation of voting working more the way it鈥檚 supposed to. Historically, attempts to disenfranchise have been backed up with violence 鈥 political violence usually directed at the group trying to participate. The departure here ... is that the political violence was directed at the government itself.鈥
ALEXANDER KIRSHNER, POLITICAL SCIENTIST
On Preventing President Trump from Seeking Future Public Office
鈥淭he right to vote requires a reasonable but not unlimited set of options. Citizens don鈥檛 have the right to violate the rights of others. Citizens don鈥檛 have the right to elect whomever they want. We typically have a limited set of choices. We don鈥檛 have the right to elect a child or a foreigner to the presidency, for example. So our rights to participate in a democracy aren鈥檛 set back if we can鈥檛 elect people who have worked to undermine the electoral process.鈥
鈥淧eople don鈥檛 have the right to seek office. They have a right not to be excluded. People who have used their power to undermine the electoral office, which I think it鈥檚 quite clear the president has, have demonstrated they won鈥檛 exercise power well. They won鈥檛 exercise power in the interest of the citizens.鈥
鈥淏ecause of that, via their actions, they鈥檝e relinquished any legitimate complaint they might have about being kept or excluded from political office.鈥
On how Georgia Senate Elections Provide Hope for Democracy
鈥淧robably the best news we鈥檝e had for democracy in the past several weeks is the election outcome in Georgia, and that鈥檚 not a partisan issue because the Democrats won, even if I may think that. It鈥檚 clear that at least in the Senate, the leadership in the Senate 鈥 have taken that as a message about the usefulness of an ideology that completely rejects the validity of other party when Donald Trump isn鈥檛 on the ballot.鈥
鈥淭he fact that those two Republican senators lost in Georgia, when they were already holding a seat 鈥 is an incredibly good thing from the perspective of democracy because it says 鈥榣ook, this is a strategy that might not prove useful.鈥 The best we can hope for is that we see other election outcomes like that.鈥
鈥淚t鈥檚 not about partisanship. But if we see Republicans who do acknowledge the legitimacy of their opponents be successful, if we see leaders running for office who do that, that will be the best kind of news we can get.鈥
鈥淚f only one party is willing to acknowledge the victories of their opponents, then that party itself will have an interest in shifting its own position. And then we鈥檙e in serious trouble.鈥
On the President鈥檚 Superpower, and Whether it鈥檚 Transferable
鈥淲e have a president, the leader of a political party, not a fringe member 鈥 but the leader of a party, saying that the sky isn鈥檛 blue but that it鈥檚 pink, and everybody going along with that. The import of that cannot be (overstated). The big question I suppose we鈥檒l have is what happens post-Trump? Whether the other people, the career politicians who might rise to take his place, will be as willing to engage in that kind of politics? It is one of Donald Trump鈥檚 superpowers 鈥 he鈥檚 able to speak about things that aren鈥檛 true as if they are true, and seem impervious to all the normal emotions that go along with that. It鈥檚 not clear to me that another political actor will be able to do the same thing.鈥
鈥淚 think what we鈥檝e seen over the last four years and in particular over the last three months is just how important a role political leadership plays in these kinds of moments.鈥
On Post-Factual Era In GOP
鈥淚n 2008 when Obama won by a significant margin and Democrats took a 60-vote majority in the Senate, there was all sorts of things written about how the Republican party would change fundamentally. They had a very successful election in 2010, and not much changed at all. I think that rather than there being a fundamental break, I think the most we can hope for is a kind of an electoral message that the strategies they鈥檝e employed over the last five years under the leadership of Donald Trump will not be successful without him. That could lead to a change in the strategies the party employs. To me that鈥檚 the most optimistic scenario about what can happen. I think the idea that the party is going to fracture or it鈥檚 going to face some grand denouement is wrong.鈥
The experts:
Alexander Kirshner
is an associate professor of political science at 老牛影视. His expertise includes antidemocratic opposition to democratic government, democratic revolutions and the value of loyal opposition. He is the author of the book, 鈥淎 Theory of Militant Democracy: The Ethics of Combatting Political Extremism.鈥
Adriane Lentz-Smith
is associate professor and associate chair in Duke's department of history, where she teaches courses on the civil rights movement, Black lives and modern America. A scholar of African American history and 20th century U.S. history, she is writing a book about police violence during the twilight of the civil rights era.
Darrell Miller
is a law professor who specializes in civil rights, constitutional law, civil procedure and state and local government law at 老牛影视. He also co-directs the at Duke Law School. His scholarship on the Second Amendment has been cited by the U.S. Supreme Court.