The AI Explosion, Explained
The field of AI has been around for decades. So why is it suddenly everywhere, and what lies ahead?
The demo was part of an AI-themed panel at , held Jan. 29 to Feb. 2 as part of the celebration.
What we now call AI has been around as a discipline for decades, said moderator and tech transfer expert of Duke's Office for Translation and Commercialization and the Office of External Partnerships.
But AI tools like ChatGPT have pushed the technology into public view.
Which raises an obvious question, Dardani said. 鈥淲hat鈥檚 different about AI today, and what could come next?鈥
This isn鈥檛 the first time AI has captured the public imagination, said AI and machine learning expert , former chair of electrical and computer engineering and former Vice Provost for Research at Duke.
Over its history, the field has gone through repeated cycles of booms and busts -- periods of remarkable progress and optimism followed by skepticism.
These cycles are known as the 鈥渟easons of AI,鈥 Carin said, and 鈥渨e鈥檙e definitely experiencing an AI summer.鈥
But this moment seems different, Carin added. It鈥檚 not just another bubble of inflated expectations. 鈥淲e鈥檙e in a different phase,鈥 Carin said.
鈥淢ost of the focus right now in AI is really on productivity,鈥 said Hirschey, a professor of medicine who also directs Duke鈥檚 .
Imagine a harried physician. In a regular week, many doctors spend nearly entering data and doing deskwork. AI-powered voice assistants that integrate with patients鈥 electronic health records could make charting easier so that doctors can focus more on patient care.
Or take any office job. Increasingly, companies are integrating 鈥溾 into office apps like Word, Gmail or Excel. These AIs could save users time by automating or offloading tedious tasks such as scheduling meetings or managing email.
鈥淭here's something deep about human nature that is looking not for shortcuts, but we鈥檒l say for 鈥榩roductivity enhancement opportunities,鈥欌 Hirschey said.
And indeed the potential gains are impressive. According to the accounting and auditing firm PricewaterhouseCoopers, the boost in productivity enabled by AI could add by 2030. That鈥檚 more than the GDPs of Canada and the U.K. combined.
鈥淪o it's not surprising that it starts here,鈥 Hirschey said. 鈥淏ut I think the most exciting prospect is beyond productivity.鈥
In education, for example, AI chatbots could serve as students鈥 personal tutors, clarifying and reviewing concepts based on content from a syllabus or textbook.
Hirshey asked one such bot to 鈥渢each me the fundamentals of large language models from an undergrad level,鈥 and the AI came back with an answer almost instantly.
鈥淭his is a new way to interact with course material,鈥 Hirschey said.
Such tools aren鈥檛 perfect. When he asked the AI tutor for clarification, typing in 鈥淚 don鈥檛 quite understand,鈥 the chatbot choked. It came back with 鈥渆rror analyzing.鈥
鈥淭hat just shows you it's a real demo,鈥 he chuckled.
In another demo, Hirschey showed off a custom chatbot he created called 鈥淕host Scientist.鈥
It differs from regular ChatGPT in that it was programmed for a specific task, in this case to suggest experiments that could be carried out. After asking the audience to call out fields they were working in, he chose two answers at random and typed: 鈥渉ow would I use light microscopy to study ion channels?鈥
In an instant the AI came back with a list of ideas, ranked based on feasibility.
Some experts might skim this list and say, 鈥渢hat's totally bogus, or that's not going to work,鈥 Hirschey said. But the point is 鈥渨e can also build tools that help us come up with ideas,鈥 Hirschey said. 鈥淲e can use AI to help brainstorm.鈥
鈥淩ight now everyone is thinking about AI as a task completer,鈥 Hirschey said. 鈥淏ut really we should be thinking about AI as an educator, an idea generator, or even as a thought partner.鈥
If you had told an AI-savvy audience even five years ago that such things would soon be possible, Carin said, 鈥淚 think everybody would have just laughed. No chance.鈥
To tech insiders, Carin said, 鈥淭his is unbelievable technology. It is a tremendous accomplishment of sustained research over many decades.鈥
鈥淏ut now we have new questions,鈥 Carin added. 鈥淪uch as: who owns this?鈥
Tech giants like Google and Microsoft are facing a alleging that scraping data from the web to train their AI systems violates people鈥檚 privacy or property rights.
鈥淚've never seen the technology evolve so much quicker than the law,鈥 said Duke alum , who practiced law for 30 years at the forefront of AI and other emerging technologies before returning to Duke as an executive in residence at Pratt.
鈥淓ven the patent office and copyright officers are struggling with the implications of AI on traditional intellectual property bedrock concepts,鈥 Dardani said.
鈥淭here seems to be some consensus across the aisles that big tech needs to be reined in,鈥 Tiedrich added. Just a few months ago the White House unveiled a sweeping executive order on artificial intelligence, joining a number of countries around the world in calling for around AI.
鈥淚t鈥檚 still the Wild West, but policymakers are trying very hard to tame it,鈥 Tiedrich said. The goal is to 鈥渃apitalize on all the great benefits that artificial intelligence brings, but also make sure that we mitigate the risks.鈥
One of the clearest lessons from the panel was that we've only just begun to see what's possible with AI.
鈥淚t's early,鈥 Hirschey said. 鈥淲e still don't know exactly how these tools work, what their limitations are, or the full implications of their use.鈥
Looking ahead, however, AI agents could be embedded inside every app we use. suggests that a third of college students are already using ChatGPT for schoolwork.
鈥淭here's no question that it鈥檚 going to be used,鈥 Carin said.
Dardani brought the discussion to a close with one final quip: 鈥淚f there鈥檚 any portion of today that you forget and want to double back on, don鈥檛 worry -- just ask ChatGPT.鈥